Statball

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San Francisco Giants
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789214
Giants · 12 H, 1 EMariners · 2 H, 2 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cal Raleigh pops out to third baseman Casey Schmitt.
bot 9Dominic Canzone grounds out, first baseman Rafael Devers to pitcher Caleb Kilian. J.P. Crawford to 3rd.
bot 9Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.
bot 9J.P. Crawford reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Willy Adames.
top 9Drew Gilbert grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Willy Adames strikes out swinging.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee singles on a fly ball to shortstop Colt Emerson, deflected by center fielder Victor Robles.
top 9Heliot Ramos flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jung Hoo Lee 3-4 · Willy Adames 1-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Bryce Eldridge 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-3 · Luke Raley 1-3 · Victor Robles 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.