Statball

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San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 7 H, 1 EMariners · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Julio Rodríguez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Grant McCray. Victor Robles scores.34
bot 10J.P. Crawford walks.
bot 10Colt Emerson out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Dylan Smith to first baseman Rafael Devers. Victor Robles to 3rd.
top 10Rafael Devers strikes out on a foul tip.
top 10José A. Ferrer intentionally walks Casey Schmitt.
top 10Bryce Eldridge flies out to center fielder Victor Robles.
top 10Luis Arraez grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Willy Adames 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Eldridge 2-4
Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dominic Canzone 1-4 · Josh Naylor 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.