Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Toronto Blue Jays
0
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Jays · 3 H, 1 EMariners · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alejandro Kirk lines out to center fielder Victor Robles.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto lines out softly to shortstop Colt Emerson.
top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Lukes singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Robles.
bot 8Cole Young strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luke Raley lines out sharply to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.
bot 8Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.04
bot 8Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 1-3 · Nathan Lukes 1-4 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1-3
Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Mitch Garver 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI · Victor Robles 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.