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Toronto Blue Jays
0
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
11
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789524
Jays · 1 H, 1 EMariners · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathan Lukes grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Luis Urías called out on strikes.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Dominic Canzone grounds out, second baseman Luis Urías to first baseman Sean Keys.
bot 8Randy Arozarena grounds out to first baseman Sean Keys.
bot 8Weston Wilson flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
top 8Sean Keys flies out to shortstop Colt Emerson.
top 8Yohendrick Piñango grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Yohendrick Piñango 1-3 · Luis Urías 0-1 · Jonatan Clase 0-1
Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Cal Raleigh 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.