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Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Jays · 6 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 2 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Andrés Giménez. Weston Wilson out at 2nd.
bot 9Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
bot 9Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 9Randy Arozarena grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Nathan Lukes grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Andrés Giménez grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Sean Keys grounds out, first baseman Josh Naylor to pitcher Nick Davila.
bot 8J.P. Crawford strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Sean Keys 2-4 · Andrés Giménez 1-3, 1 RBI · Yohendrick Piñango 1-4
Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Robles 1-2 · Cole Young 1-3 · J.P. Crawford 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.