Statball

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Los Angeles Angels
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Los Angeles Angelsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Angels. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911123
Angels · 8 H, 1 EMariners · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Oswald Peraza grounds into a double play, shortstop Colt Emerson to second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Jo Adell out at 2nd. Oswald Peraza out at 1st.
top 9Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Jorge Soler to 2nd.
top 9Jorge Soler walks.
bot 8Josh Naylor flies out sharply to center fielder Josh Lowe.
bot 8Randy Arozarena grounds out, third baseman Denzer Guzman to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
top 8Nolan Schanuel strikes out swinging, catcher Cal Raleigh to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 8Denzer Guzman called out on strikes.
top 8Zach Neto walks.

Context the model prices

Los Angeles Angels
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Zach Neto 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Lowe 2-3 · Jorge Soler 1-3
Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Dominic Canzone 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cal Raleigh 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.