Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111
Sox · 5 H, 0 EMariners · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
top 9Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
top 9Mickey Gasper singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.
bot 8Colt Emerson called out on strikes.
bot 8Josh Naylor strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez lines out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 8Anthony Seigler grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Nate Eaton 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-3 · Mickey Gasper 1-3
Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cole Young 1-3, 1 RBI · Weston Wilson 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.