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Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 10 H, 2 EMariners · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Connor Joe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Colt Emerson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Victor Robles grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Cole Young homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.53
bot 9Dominic Canzone homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.52
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.
top 9Blaze Alexander walks.
top 9Jackson Holliday homers (4) on a line drive to center field.51

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Blaze Alexander 3-3 · Jackson Holliday 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cole Young 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cal Raleigh 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.