Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112
Orioles · 3 H, 0 EMariners · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Samuel Basallo grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Miles Mastrobuoni.
top 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
top 9Adley Rutschman singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman J.P. Crawford.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, first baseman Miles Mastrobuoni to pitcher Andrés Muñoz.
bot 8Victor Robles grounds into a double play, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso. Dominic Canzone out at 3rd. Victor Robles out at 1st.
bot 8Cole Young flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 8Rob Refsnyder walks. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.
bot 8Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-4 · Adley Rutschman 1-4
Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Robles 1-4 · J.P. Crawford 1-2 · Dominic Canzone 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.