Statball

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New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 2 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Cole Young singles on a soft line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Randy Arozarena scores.23
bot 10Patrick Wisdom strikes out swinging. Randy Arozarena steals (17) 3rd base.
top 10A.J. Ewing pops out to shortstop J.P. Crawford.
top 10Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
top 10Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.
bot 9Victor Robles grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Young 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 0-3
Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colt Emerson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.