Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 3 H, 1 EMariners · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Geraldo Perdomo walks.
top 9Corbin Carroll grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Ketel Marte lines out to second baseman Cole Young.
bot 8Dominic Canzone grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8Cole Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
bot 8Luke Raley pops out to third baseman Jose Fernandez.
bot 8Randy Arozarena grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Adrian Del Castillo 1-3 · Ryan Waldschmidt 1-3 · Ildemaro Vargas 1-3
Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Raley 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.