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Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 3 H, 1 EMariners · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Victor Robles singles on a ground ball to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.23
bot 10Cole Young out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Nolan Arenado to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Luke Raley to 2nd.
bot 10Jonathan Loáisiga intentionally walks Luke Raley.
top 10Ketel Marte grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 10Adrian Del Castillo strikes out swinging.
top 10Gabriel Moreno walks.
top 10Jose Fernandez out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Luis Castillo to first baseman Josh Naylor. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.
bot 9Randy Arozarena strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Ildemaro Vargas 1-4 · Gabriel Moreno 1-1 · Corbin Carroll 1-4
Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jhonny Pereda 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.