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Chicago White Sox
4
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111113
Sox · 11 H, 0 EMariners · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
top 9Derek Hill strikes out swinging.
top 9Randal Grichuk homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.45
bot 8Colt Emerson walks.
bot 8Patrick Wisdom flies out to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
bot 8Dominic Canzone strikes out on a foul tip.
top 8Edgar Quero strikes out swinging.
top 8Miguel Vargas walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Randal Grichuk 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Munetaka Murakami 2-5, 1 RBI · Chase Meidroth 2-3
Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jhonny Pereda 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.