Statball

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Chicago White Sox
2
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Sox · 4 H, 0 EMariners · 1 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
bot 9J.P. Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 9Tristan Peters strikes out swinging.
top 9Luisangel Acuña called out on strikes.
top 9Andrew Benintendi singles on a ground ball to second baseman Cole Young, deflected by first baseman Josh Naylor. Miguel Vargas scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd.21
top 9Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Connor Joe. Derek Hill scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd. Chase Meidroth to 2nd.11
top 9Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-3 · Chase Meidroth 1-4, 1 RBI · Andrew Benintendi 1-4, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 1-4 · Josh Naylor 0-3 · Cole Young 0-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.