Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911113
Sox · 6 H, 1 EMariners · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Drew Romo strikes out swinging.
top 9Tristan Peters pops out to third baseman Colt Emerson in foul territory.
top 9Jarred Kelenic flies out sharply to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 8Jhonny Pereda flies out to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
bot 8Colt Emerson homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Josh Naylor scores. Dominic Canzone scores.16
bot 8Cole Young flies out to left fielder Randal Grichuk.
bot 8Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Peters 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Munetaka Murakami 2-3 · Sam Antonacci 2-3
Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 3-4, 1 RBI · Colt Emerson 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.