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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 7 H, 0 EMariners · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Naylor grounds out, first baseman Gavin Sheets to pitcher Jeremiah Estrada.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Miguel Andujar. Connor Joe out at 3rd. J.P. Crawford to 2nd. Julio Rodríguez to 1st.
bot 9J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Connor Joe to 2nd.
bot 9Connor Joe walks.
bot 9Jhonny Pereda lines out sharply to left fielder Ramón Laureano.
top 9Rodolfo Durán flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Ramón Laureano flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.
top 9Sung-Mun Song singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Castellanos 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Rodolfo Durán 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gavin Sheets 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
J.P. Crawford 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4 · Cole Young 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.