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Atlanta Braves
4
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789135
Braves · 9 H, 0 EMariners · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Drake Baldwin grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Eli White called out on strikes.
top 9Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Naylor pops out to third baseman Austin Riley.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez singles on a sharp ground ball to shortstop Jorge Mateo, deflected by third baseman Austin Riley.
bot 8J.P. Crawford grounds out to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Leo Rivas strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Riley 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Drake Baldwin 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt Olson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
J.P. Crawford 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luke Raley 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.