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Kansas City Royals
4
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Royals · 8 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cole Young strikes out swinging, catcher Carter Jensen to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9J.P. Crawford grounds out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9Randy Arozarena called out on strikes.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Kyle Isbel out at home on the throw, center fielder Julio Rodríguez to second baseman Cole Young to catcher Jhonny Pereda.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Maikel Garcia flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Kyle Isbel walks.
bot 8Josh Naylor strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 2-2, 2 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-5 · Kyle Isbel 2-3
Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · J.P. Crawford 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.