Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

Kansas City Royals
7
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
6
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894212112
Royals · 10 H, 0 EMariners · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cal Raleigh pops out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
bot 9J.P. Crawford called out on strikes.
bot 9Leo Rivas pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia in foul territory.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9Maikel Garcia strikes out swinging.
bot 8Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cole Young flies out to right fielder Lane Thomas.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jac Caglianone 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-4, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Connor Joe 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.