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Athletics
4
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Athleticsgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Athletics. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Athletics · 9 H, 0 EMariners · 14 H, 2 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.45
bot 9Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
bot 9Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Zack Gelof.
bot 9J.P. Crawford grounds into a double play, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Leo Rivas out at 2nd. J.P. Crawford out at 1st.
bot 9Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to center fielder Zack Gelof.
top 9Carlos Cortes grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Shea Langeliers strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Kurtz homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.44

Context the model prices

Athletics
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Kurtz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carlos Cortes 2-5 · Jacob Wilson 2-4, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 3-5, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.