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Texas Rangers
2
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892122
Rangers · 5 H, 0 EMariners · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Evan Carter grounds out to first baseman Connor Joe.
top 9Josh Jung strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Joc Pederson strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Burger strikes out swinging. Jake Burger to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Andrés Muñoz.
bot 8Luke Raley lines out to first baseman Jake Burger.
bot 8Cole Young flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.
bot 8J.P. Crawford walks.
bot 8Mitch Garver grounds out, pitcher Jakob Junis to first baseman Jake Burger.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Nimmo 2-4 · Evan Carter 1-4, 1 RBI · Wyatt Langford 1-4
Seattle Mariners
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · J.P. Crawford 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Rob Refsnyder 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.