Statball

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Texas Rangers
3
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
7
100% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rangers · 11 H, 2 EMariners · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Higashioka walks.
top 9Ezequiel Duran doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Josh Smith scores. Josh Jung to 3rd.37
top 9Evan Carter out on a sacrifice fly to second baseman Cole Young in foul territory. Wyatt Langford scores.27
top 9Josh Jung walks. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. Josh Smith to 2nd.
top 9Josh Smith singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Cole Young. Wyatt Langford to 2nd.
top 9Jake Burger strikes out swinging.
top 9Wyatt Langford singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Jung 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wyatt Langford 3-5 · Ezequiel Duran 3-5, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 3-4, 2 RBI · Luke Raley 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 2-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.