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Houston Astros
7
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
8
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 17 H, 1 EMariners · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Cole Young scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd. Leo Rivas to 2nd.78
bot 9Leo Rivas walks. Cole Young to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.
bot 9Brendan Donovan walks. Cole Young to 2nd.
bot 9Cole Young walks.
bot 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
top 9Yordan Alvarez flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Christian Walker walks. Taylor Trammell to 2nd.
top 9Taylor Trammell walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-6, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cam Smith 4-5, 2 RBI · Carlos Correa 3-5
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Julio Rodríguez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cal Raleigh 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · J.P. Crawford 2-3, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.