Statball

← All live games · T-Mobile Park

New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913121
Yankees · 6 H, 0 EMariners · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cole Young flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Randy Arozarena scores.53
bot 9Luke Raley grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Randy Arozarena doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by third baseman Ryan McMahon.
bot 9Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Ryan McMahon flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Amed Rosario 1-3
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · Randy Arozarena 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.