Statball

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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678923
Yankees · 9 H, 0 EMariners · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Josh Naylor grounds out to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Julio Rodríguez flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
top 9Ryan McMahon grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9José Caballero strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9J.C. Escarra pops out to second baseman Cole Young.
bot 8Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
bot 8Rob Refsnyder pops out to first baseman Ben Rice.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-2, 1 RBI · Cody Bellinger 2-3 · Giancarlo Stanton 2-4, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-4 · Cole Young 1-3 · Brendan Donovan 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.