Statball

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New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
2
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 6 H, 1 EMariners · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Cal Raleigh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Leo Rivas scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.12
bot 9Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Leo Rivas to 3rd.
bot 9Cole Young flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Leo Rivas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge.
top 9Amed Rosario strikes out swinging.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out softly, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Randal Grichuk to 3rd.
top 9Giancarlo Stanton doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out, shortstop Leo Rivas to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Giancarlo Stanton 2-4 · José Caballero 1-2 · Aaron Judge 1-3
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-4, 1 RBI · Brendan Donovan 2-4 · Leo Rivas 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.