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Cleveland Guardians
0
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
8
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 2 H, 1 EMariners · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9David Fry flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
top 9Brayan Rocchio flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
bot 8Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to left fielder CJ Kayfus. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd.08
bot 8Josh Naylor walks. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.
bot 8Julio Rodríguez reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Brayan Rocchio.
bot 8Cal Raleigh grounds out, second baseman Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 1-3 · Daniel Schneemann 1-3 · Brayan Rocchio 0-3
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Brendan Donovan 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-4, 2 RBI · Cole Young 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.