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Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 8 H, 0 EMariners · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Cole Young strikes out swinging.
bot 10Leo Rivas strikes out swinging.
bot 10Luke Raley homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Randy Arozarena scores.65
bot 10Brendan Donovan flies out to center fielder Steven Kwan. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.
top 10David Fry strikes out swinging.
top 10Kyle Manzardo grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 10José Ramírez grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 10Chase DeLauter homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Steven Kwan scores.63

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · David Fry 2-5 · Steven Kwan 2-5, 1 RBI
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Luke Raley 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Robles 2-3, 1 RBI · Brendan Donovan 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.