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Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789132
Guardians · 4 H, 0 EMariners · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9CJ Kayfus grounds out, shortstop Leo Rivas to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Rhys Hoskins called out on strikes.
top 9Bo Naylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging, catcher Cal Raleigh to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Luke Raley grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
bot 8Randy Arozarena lines out sharply to center fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Josh Naylor lines out sharply to right fielder Chase DeLauter.
top 8José Ramírez lines out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Steven Kwan 2-4 · Bo Naylor 1-3
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luke Raley 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Leo Rivas 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.