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Cleveland Guardians
6
100% — our call
Final
Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilitySeattle Mariners
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Mariners in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 12 H, 0 EMariners · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Mariners win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Mariners win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dominic Canzone lines out sharply to shortstop Gabriel Arias.
bot 9Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
bot 9Randy Arozarena flies out to center fielder Steven Kwan.
top 9Bo Naylor grounds into a double play, pitcher Cooper Criswell to shortstop Leo Rivas to first baseman Josh Naylor. Kyle Manzardo out at 2nd. Bo Naylor out at 1st.
top 9Kyle Manzardo walks.
top 9José Ramírez called out on strikes.
top 9Chase DeLauter homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.64
bot 8Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 3-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Rhys Hoskins 3-3 · Brayan Rocchio 2-3, 2 RBI
Seattle Mariners
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brendan Donovan 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Raley 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.