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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
6
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789211111213
Padres · 13 H, 0 EGiants · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nate Furman strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jung Hoo Lee lines out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 9Turner Hill strikes out swinging.
top 9Sung-Mun Song strikes out swinging.
top 9Carson Seymour intentionally walks Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Jase Bowen grounds out, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
top 9Jake Cronenworth out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Carson Seymour to first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.
top 9Xander Bogaerts doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 4-5 · Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Gilbert 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Shay Whitcomb 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Drew Cavanaugh 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.