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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
5
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 12 H, 0 EGiants · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Eldridge called out on strikes.
bot 9Rafael Devers walks. Nate Furman to 3rd. Jonah Cox to 2nd.
bot 9Jonah Cox singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Nate Furman to 2nd.
bot 9Nate Furman walks.
bot 9Drew Cavanaugh strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jung Hoo Lee flies out to left fielder Jase Bowen in foul territory.
top 9Jase Bowen grounds out, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
top 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, third baseman Brett Harris to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 3-5 · Freddy Fermin 2-4, 2 RBI · Dustin Harris 2-3, 2 RBI
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jonah Cox 2-4 · Bryce Eldridge 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.