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St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
2
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Cardinals · 5 H, 0 EGiants · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Iván Herrera grounds out, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Bryan Torres singles on a ground ball to right fielder Grant McCray. Nathan Church scores.1–2
top 9Nathan Church singles on a line drive to left fielder Turner Hill.
top 9Masyn Winn flies out to center fielder Jonah Cox.
top 9Thomas Saggese grounds out sharply, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Shay Whitcomb pops out to second baseman Bryan Torres.
bot 8Andrew Knizner grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Turner Hill grounds out, second baseman Bryan Torres to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Torres 1-4, 1 RBI · Nathan Church 1-3 · Alec Burleson 1-1
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Koss 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Eldridge 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Shay Whitcomb 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.