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Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
3
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Reds · 4 H, 1 EGiants · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.
top 9Tyler Stephenson grounds out, third baseman Buddy Kennedy to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9JJ Bleday grounds out, second baseman Shay Whitcomb to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Sal Stewart homers (28) on a fly ball to right field.13
bot 8Drew Gilbert lines into an unassisted double play, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes. Grant McCray out at 3rd.
bot 8Christian Koss out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Tejay Antone to first baseman Sal Stewart. Grant McCray to 3rd.
bot 8Grant McCray doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez.
top 8Elly De La Cruz grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Christian Koss. Ke'Bryan Hayes out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-4 · JJ Bleday 1-4
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Cavanaugh 3-3, 2 RBI · Rafael Devers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nate Furman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.