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Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
4
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911111
Astros · 5 H, 2 EGiants · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jeremy Peña grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
top 9Yainer Diaz grounds out, third baseman Christian Koss to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
top 9Cam Smith grounds out softly, catcher Drew Cavanaugh to first baseman Bryce Eldridge.
bot 8Christian Koss flies out sharply to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 8Drew Cavanaugh grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker. Osleivis Basabe to 3rd.
bot 8Osleivis Basabe singles on a line drive to left fielder LaMonte Wade Jr.
bot 8Drew Gilbert strikes out swinging.
top 8Daulton Varsho flies out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4 · Cam Smith 1-4 · Daulton Varsho 1-3
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Eldridge 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Drew Cavanaugh 2-4, 1 RBI · Willy Adames 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.