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Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Astros · 4 H, 0 EGiants · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Christian Koss flies out to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
bot 9Andrew Knizner pops out to first baseman Christian Walker in foul territory.
top 9Daulton Varsho called out on strikes.
top 9Isaac Paredes lines out to third baseman Buddy Kennedy.
top 9Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Osleivis Basabe strikes out swinging.
bot 8Drew Gilbert strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Allen 1-2, 1 RBI · Taylor Trammell 1-3 · Jeremy Peña 1-4
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Koss 2-4 · Drew Cavanaugh 1-2 · Victor Bericoto 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.