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Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 8 H, 0 EGiants · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 10Christian Koss grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 10Grant McCray strikes out swinging.
top 10Nick Allen grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 10Jason Foley intentionally walks Taylor Trammell.
top 10Jose Altuve pops out to first baseman Rafael Devers in foul territory.
top 10Isaac Paredes doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Grant McCray. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Jeremy Peña scores.63
top 10Yordan Alvarez pops out to third baseman Christian Koss on the infield fly rule.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-4, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 2-5
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jung Hoo Lee 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Drew Gilbert 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Koss 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.