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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
5
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911221
Tigers · 11 H, 1 EGiants · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Eduardo Valencia flies out sharply to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
top 9Riley Greene walks.
top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Gleyber Torres grounds out, first baseman Rafael Devers to pitcher Dylan Smith.
bot 8Drew Gilbert pops out to third baseman Kevin McGonigle in foul territory.
bot 8Daniel Susac strikes out swinging.
bot 8Rafael Devers grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Kevin McGonigle flies out to left fielder Grant McCray.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 3-4 · Spencer Torkelson 3-4 · Zach McKinstry 2-3, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Willy Adames 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Osleivis Basabe 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.