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Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789231
Cubs · 6 H, 2 EGiants · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rafael Devers called out on strikes.
bot 9Casey Schmitt strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bryce Eldridge homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.51
bot 9Luis Arraez flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Carson Kelly flies out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.
top 9Moisés Ballesteros strikes out swinging.
top 9Nico Hoerner lines out to third baseman Matt Chapman.
bot 8Daniel Susac flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-4, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-4
San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Eldridge 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Arraez 1-4 · Casey Schmitt 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.