Statball

← All live games · Oracle Park

Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
5
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891311
Cubs · 7 H, 0 EGiants · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pedro Ramírez flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Arraez flies out to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Matt Chapman walks. Daniel Susac to 3rd. Drew Gilbert to 2nd.
bot 8Drew Gilbert walks.
bot 8Daniel Susac singles on a fly ball to right fielder Michael Conforto. Casey Schmitt scores.15
bot 8Jung Hoo Lee lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 8Willy Adames pops out to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 2-4 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4 · Michael Busch 1-4
San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Chapman 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Casey Schmitt 2-3 · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.