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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912121
Cubs · 11 H, 0 EGiants · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Arraez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Eric Haase grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Drew Gilbert out at 2nd. Eric Haase to 1st.
bot 9Drew Gilbert walks.
bot 9Matt Chapman strikes out swinging.
top 9Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Amaya doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
top 9Pedro Ramírez strikes out swinging, catcher Eric Haase to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Nico Hoerner lines out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-4 · Casey Schmitt 1-4 · Matt Chapman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.