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Chicago White Sox
5
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
8
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121224
Sox · 4 H, 1 EGiants · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
top 9Munetaka Murakami strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
bot 8Casey Schmitt grounds out, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Miguel Vargas.
bot 8Luis Arraez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Willy Adames strikes out swinging.
bot 8Will Brennan singles on a fly ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Harrison Bader to 3rd.
bot 8Harrison Bader doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Chase Meidroth 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Miguel Vargas 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Edgar Quero 1-3, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Rafael Devers 2-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Matt Chapman 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.