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Pittsburgh Pirates
13
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 20 H, 0 EGiants · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jung Hoo Lee lines out to left fielder Nick Yorke.
bot 9Eric Haase singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Yorke. Logan Porter scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd. Drew Gilbert to 2nd.133
bot 9Drew Gilbert walks. Heliot Ramos scores. Logan Porter to 3rd. Matt Chapman to 2nd.132
bot 9Matt Chapman walks. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. Logan Porter to 2nd.
bot 9Willy Adames flies out to left fielder Nick Yorke.
bot 9Bryce Eldridge lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
bot 9Christian Koss hit by pitch. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.
bot 9Heliot Ramos walks.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Bart 4-5, 2 RBI · Nick Gonzales 4-6 · Oneil Cruz 3-6
San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Eldridge 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 2-3 · Matt Chapman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.