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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
5
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911113
Pirates · 5 H, 0 EGiants · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Brandon Lowe flies out to shortstop Willy Adames.
top 9Spencer Horwitz singles on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Oneil Cruz scores. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.25
top 9Konnor Griffin walks. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.
top 9Oneil Cruz walks.
top 9Marcell Ozuna flies out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.
bot 8Drew Gilbert strikes out swinging.
bot 8Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Marcell Ozuna 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-1, 1 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-3
San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 2-4, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.