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San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891221
Padres · 6 H, 0 EGiants · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Casey Schmitt strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.
bot 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
top 9Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Ty France grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jesus Rodriguez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Gavin Sheets 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Castellanos 2-4
San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jesus Rodriguez 2-3 · Casey Schmitt 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.