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San Diego Padres
10
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
5
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 14 H, 0 EGiants · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Koss strikes out swinging.
bot 9Willy Adames lines out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
bot 9Matt Chapman grounds out, second baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
top 9Bryce Johnson grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to second baseman Casey Schmitt.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out softly, pitcher Joel Peguero to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 9Gavin Sheets flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 8Bryce Eldridge pops out to second baseman Sung-Mun Song.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Xander Bogaerts 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Merrill 3-5, 2 RBI · Miguel Andujar 3-5, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Jesus Rodriguez 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Casey Schmitt 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Drew Gilbert 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.