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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893123
Marlins · 2 H, 1 EGiants · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Xavier Edwards lines out sharply to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Otto Lopez flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
top 9Kyle Stowers grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Jung Hoo Lee flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
bot 8Patrick Bailey lines out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 8Christian Koss grounds out, pitcher Anthony Bender to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 8Heriberto Hernández walks.
top 8Graham Pauley called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Graham Pauley 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Liam Hicks 1-3 · Heriberto Hernández 0-2
San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Jung Hoo Lee 4-5 · Casey Schmitt 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Drew Gilbert 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.