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New York Mets
9
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
0
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789351
Mets · 12 H, 1 EGiants · 3 H, 3 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt Chapman flies out to right fielder Brett Baty.
bot 9Luis Arraez lines out to center fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Heliot Ramos flies out to right fielder Brett Baty.
top 9Tyrone Taylor flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
top 9Mark Vientos grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Jerar Encarnacion.
top 9Brett Baty flies out to center fielder Jared Oliva.
bot 8Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.
bot 8Willy Adames lines out sharply to center fielder Carson Benge.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Mark Vientos 3-5, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Jerar Encarnacion 1-3 · Matt Chapman 1-4 · Jung Hoo Lee 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.