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New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 15 H, 0 EGiants · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Patrick Bailey flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Harrison Bader strikes out swinging.
bot 9Heliot Ramos singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge, deflected by second baseman Marcus Semien.
bot 9Jung Hoo Lee lines out to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.
top 9Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Carson Benge grounds into a force out, second baseman Luis Arraez to shortstop Willy Adames. Brett Baty scores. Marcus Semien out at 2nd. Carson Benge to 1st.103
top 9Marcus Semien singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brett Baty to 3rd.
top 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Marcus Semien 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bo Bichette 3-5, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 2-4 · Jerar Encarnacion 1-3 · Willy Adames 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.