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New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
7
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789113211
Mets · 5 H, 1 EGiants · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Robert Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Jorge Polanco pops out to third baseman Matt Chapman.
bot 8Matt Chapman grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Luis Arraez flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8Heliot Ramos grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Mark Vientos.
top 8Bo Bichette lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman Casey Schmitt. Juan Soto out at 1st.
top 8Juan Soto singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4, 1 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 1-3
San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Casey Schmitt 3-3, 1 RBI · Daniel Susac 3-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.